Kobach on Sedgwick County election lawsuit: Time is past, votes are sealed
“She actually had a perfect opportunity to do some of the analysis she wanted to do during the contest period. Any registered voter in the relevant district in Kansas can bring a contest to challenge election results, so she has had multiple opportunities to do that,” Kobach said. “But Kansas law is very clear (that) after the contest period expires … the ballots are sealed after the contest period.”
It is worth note that I did, in fact, attempt to look at election results during the “contest period.” I was denied access.
I received the following question from a reader:
I have poked around in the Kansas Senate and Wisconsin Governor election results, which to my eye look the most dramatic, and I see that there does appear to be a Republican bias in the larger precincts. Not much, just a few percentage points, but the effect is real. What I don’t understand is what suggests that this might be sinister, as opposed to being just one of those oddities that crop up from time to time.
And thank you for looking into this. I have family in the Wichita area, and I want their votes to count.
Bob, thanks for caring enough to poke around the statistics. I appreciate the concurrence regarding a Republican bias in the larger precincts. You ask good questions.
Why should this small trend disturb us? Why isn’t it just considered a statistical oddity?
It’s not a statistical oddity because it crops up all over the U.S. Therefore, it’s a pattern, not an oddity or ‘one-off’ situation that isn’t expected to be repeated. It cannot be dismissed as an oddity; it is a pattern that has some explanation. Vote rigging is one such explanation, but this analysis cannot establish cause. An audit could establish cause and that is why I am trying to get access to the paper records.
Why consider it ‘sinister’ or evidence of voting machine manipulation? The evidence for this is more complex and not necessarily statistical, such as the documented vulnerability of the machines to being hacked. The most convincing piece of statistical evidence against the various voting machines is that if you separate out the different types, only some types of machines demonstrate this trend. When I separated out the Wisconsin Gov. Election results for paper ballots only, no voting machines involved, the results not only do not show this trend, but form a beautiful example of what is expected under the null hypothesis of no trend.
Questions Remain in Alleged Kansas Vote Tampering Case
Interest in this case has definitely grown, with more news sites and groups taking up the story and calling for the Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach to audit the election results.
Concerns over the hacking of voting machines are nothing new, as shown in the 2006 documentary, Hacking Democracy.
Filmed over three years it documents American citizens investigating anomalies and irregularities with ‘e-voting’ (electronic voting) systems that occurred during the 2000 and 2004 elections in the U.S.A., especially in Volusia County, Florida. The film investigates the flawed integrity of electronic voting machines, particularly those made by Diebold Election Systems, exposing previously unknown backdoors in the Diebold trade secret computer software.
Wichita State mathematician says Kansas voting machines need audit
A mathematician at Wichita State University who wanted to check the accuracy of some Kansas voting machines after finding odd patterns in election returns said she is finding out how difficult it can be to get government officials to turn over public documents.